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Alison Gopnik's avatar

As the Gopnik of Gopnikism, I think there might be a picture that combines all of these. Gopnikism Cultural Technologies often use fictional agents to convey info, going all the way back to myths but interestingly including ,for example, the novels that print advances enabled. Zeus, Peter Rabbit, Elizabeth Bennett - these are all not real agents, but they are an especially effective way to pass on information about psychological regularities and social norms. These stories take advantage of Sperber human agent detection, and support Shanahan role-play. They are Weatherby like literary texts but work because they are grounded in the real external world. Humans usually extract info from these fictive agents without believing they're real. But in psychopathologies people treat fictive agents - saints, spirits, actors, celebrities - as real influences on their actions. Chat GPT is just the latest example. But I absolutely agree that we really need an Ong like analysis of how these new modes of cultural transmission, like the past ones, might change the world.

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Kaleberg's avatar

Self driving cars have been any-day-now for a full decade now, so you might think we have learned something. There are a handful of carefully restricted self driving cars on the road today, and they require frequent human operator intervention.

LLMs haven't been around as long, but their main use seems to be writing school essays and summarizing school reading. Usage drops dramatically outside the school year. The handful of satisfied users, generally programmers, have been less and less enamored or such systems. As others have noted, LLMs are designed to produce buggy code with hard to find bugs since they produce statistically likely code sequences.

Self driving technology was supposed to let computers replace truck drivers, but we still seem to be a long way from that. LLMs are supposed to let computers replace anyone hired to produce a coherent textual output. Such replacement seems possible but at the cost of performing a crappy job.

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