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Alex Tolley's avatar

It wasn't clear from the reviews, although hinted at, that the US was somewhat like China from teh Gilded Age through the 1950s. Britain was similar, but started earlier. The legacy of "build" and damn the locals is still apparent everywhere, from ill-sited polluting factories to freeways carving through neighborhoods. The US and other developed countries still try to do it, even over legal resistance - HWY 85 in Silicon Valley, and the continuing ill-fated attempts at high-speed rail in California and the now-abandoned HST in England.

What we have is teh experiences of unforeseen consequences - failures of nuclear reactors, facilities from military bases, and chip fabs polluting groundwater. Filthy cities covered in smoke particles (look at films of UK cities before rules were changed to allow cleaning historic buildings.)

Gleaming new buildings and structures will decay and become a nuisance. Those new buildings in modern cities will eventually look like Venice when their raison d'être passes. Then there will be the fights between the preservationists and the developers. China just hasn't gotten there yet. Give it 50 - 100 years.

Take the USA's typical "modern" city plan or a grid, compared to teh radial plans of European cities. Grids work well for auto traffic, but not so well for public transport. Arguably, much of the grid roadways are becoming obsolete as workers can deliver their inputs via electronic communication. Physical presence may be replaced with robots and robot avatars. The result will no doubt be crumbling roads no longer heavily used in many towns, especially those without historic city centers.

The "Abundance" people seem to be on board with the "get rid of the obstructionist legal system" as if this will cure the problems of Western nations. It has already worsened inequality in China, just as it did in the Gilded Age in the US. Why should we assume that returning to this model brings lots of benefits to everyone?

The older I get, the more I think the Amish, and indeed indigenous peoples, may have a better perspective on change compared to those who want to "move fast and break things".

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mike harper's avatar

I just read that China went from empty apartments to empty shopping centers. Back in the before times, say at least 20 years ago I was reading that their housing boom was over extended. Numbers always. go up!!

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