Trust number-crunchers, report-readers, and independent informed expert thinkers with SubStacks. Do not trust access journalists with anonymous sources.
I found that The Economist did a bang-up job with their coverage. On the 7th they wrote, "our model thinks the most likely scenario is a mere Republican ripple rather than a red wave." I find that it is often necessary to listen to those who look at America from the outside in.
I did not follow the polls at all and was cautiously optimistic that things might not be as bad as everyone was saying. Read James Fallows "Breaking the News" Substack today. The title is 'The Political Press Needs a Time Out.' It's a good read and he is one who has been around the block a lot of times.
I'm just a retired English professor of very little brain, and looking at Silver and listening to a lot of folks clearly smarter than I led me to expect a 52-48 Rep Senate & 235-200 Rep House. The lesson here: just accept Silver's numbers, go to bed early, and get up late to a big breakfast before checking the news.
Too many talk shows, too many op-eds, probably too many Substacks (present company excepted), certainly too much noise. It's possible to find thoughtful stuff out there and have good conversations, but there are too many voices who are desperate to be heard and therefore making stuff up.
I found that The Economist did a bang-up job with their coverage. On the 7th they wrote, "our model thinks the most likely scenario is a mere Republican ripple rather than a red wave." I find that it is often necessary to listen to those who look at America from the outside in.
I love Robert Rubin's 3 questions that groups should always be asking themselves.
I did not follow the polls at all and was cautiously optimistic that things might not be as bad as everyone was saying. Read James Fallows "Breaking the News" Substack today. The title is 'The Political Press Needs a Time Out.' It's a good read and he is one who has been around the block a lot of times.
How about a new Hexapodia on Twitter, your experience on Mastadon, and the future of Substack?
I'm just a retired English professor of very little brain, and looking at Silver and listening to a lot of folks clearly smarter than I led me to expect a 52-48 Rep Senate & 235-200 Rep House. The lesson here: just accept Silver's numbers, go to bed early, and get up late to a big breakfast before checking the news.
Too many talk shows, too many op-eds, probably too many Substacks (present company excepted), certainly too much noise. It's possible to find thoughtful stuff out there and have good conversations, but there are too many voices who are desperate to be heard and therefore making stuff up.
IMO, Yglesias is still over-projecting his own views onto Florida, given 1) Florida demographics, and 2) the Florida gerrymander.