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"It is elementary geopolitics that if you think you are a rising power, you soft-pedal it. "

Are you sure that statement is true, and that China is a rising, vs risen power?

On a PPP base, China's GDP is now larger than the US GDP and within a few years will be larger on a nominal basis. Paul Kennedy's "The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers" suggested that war breaks out when the rising power's GDP is about equal to the established power's GDP. While the past history is no guarantee of the future and that this time it could really be different, we should at least entertain the idea that just maybe the past is relevant here.

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