UPDATE: For 2020-11-19: Now headed for 3000 deaths per day average for the week ending December 10. We have so screwed ourselves: It gives me no pleasure that my simple national model of coronavirus cases—project cases back three weeks from deaths, and then extrapolate case growth out from confirmed case growth and from the number of cases per test—is running dead-on:
COVID Extrapolations: As of 2020-11-19
COVID Extrapolations: As of 2020-11-19
COVID Extrapolations: As of 2020-11-19
UPDATE: For 2020-11-19: Now headed for 3000 deaths per day average for the week ending December 10. We have so screwed ourselves: It gives me no pleasure that my simple national model of coronavirus cases—project cases back three weeks from deaths, and then extrapolate case growth out from confirmed case growth and from the number of cases per test—is running dead-on: