Books take years to publish, so discussions of interest rates and democracy will probably be, if not settled, at least less topical by then. If we are in a dictatorship, who knows what books can be sold?

If I may blend several topics, one that should survive current events is the history of challengers to hegemony. Something broader and deeper than the Thucydides Trap. Does moving towards democracy or autocracy make a difference? Manufacturing power, soft power, alliances, science, demographics, treatment of women, immigration, geography, asset bubbles and financing? Also key person risk and the difficulties off measuring economic and military prowess. Whatever matters, or people think matters, covered in a population of hegemon challengers who were successful, and that failed.

The framing is to evaluate China, and to a lesser extent India, without trying to be an expert in either China or India, and to make it applicable for the long run while providing interesting history along the way.

ps: from your description, I'd be interested in a biography of Hoover, but the only book in local library interpreted his life through fishing. Suggestions?

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