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"WWIII has not begun"

A chart of state conflict deaths is not the data for recognizing the start of a major conflict. The casualties pile up during the conflict well after the start of a major war. As the chart does not show data going back to 1900, there is no evidence that WWI had just 1 significant casualty at the declaration of War in 1914, and only relatively few casualties at the start of WWII in 1939. Arguably WWII was inevitable in 1938 with Germany's invasion of Czechoslovakia. With hindsight, if anyone is around to write the history of WWIII, it may well have started if in due course the mass deaths piled up extremely quickly after the ICBMs were launched. We may, or may not, be at the start of WWIII - I hope not - but the Ukraine casualties will not indicate that.

The chart data is at best a coincident indicator and probably a lagging one.

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Second horse map looks good. Comanche and Numidians are definitely horse lords. Wouldn't have thought right away of the Sahelian Empires but they make sense too.

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Horse-archers: Funny how I've been studying those very types of maps these past few weeks. The discussion was about (archaeological) DNA evidence on early south-eastward migrations from the steppes into the South Asia. There was a lot of mixing of peoples. Then suddenly it stops early in the first millennium AD, when a caste system probably ossifies the social heirarchy in the Indian subcontinent. Someone clearly thought they would benefit from it. And suddenly had enough ower to enforce it.

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